Cousins has done a commendable job of putting a major dent into a handful of the narratives that have dogged him since he landed in Minnesota. For our purposes, garbage time is when a team is trailing by 16 points or more in the second half of a game. Passing; Rushing; Receiving; Scrimmage Stats; Defense; Kicking; . Those numbers were lower than his 66.1% completion rate and 6.9 yards per attempt for the whole season. The 64-percent mark in the third quarter isnt overly massive, but is still five percentage points over league average in the quarter. NFL and Fox Sports 1 made a joint decision to choose Nolan as the new host. He rushed 7 times in the fourth quarter of the teams 43-17 win over the 49ers. Watson had his great season on one of the worst teams in the NFL. for NFL news and in-depth analysis concerning the 2021 season and beyond. Garbage time is like pornography. Absolutely, but not nearly to an extent that warrants any level of concern compared to his non-garbage-time scenarios. Thats a broad definition that includes some still-competitive situations, like when a team is trailing 26-10 early in the third quarter. Thats a broad definition that includes some still-competitive situations, like when a team is trailing 26-10 early in the third quarter. 21 Jan 2023 01:32:03 Pretty easy when the opposing team is playing prevent defense every game. I'd think there is no real garbage time in the [first half]. If the Raiders are down 21 in the fourth quarter, theyre very likely to go forward with a pass-heavy attack. A QB can make a career out of this if he plays his cards right. @PinchyBoy10 defines it as down three touchdowns in the fourth quarter. @mcsingh85 is in a similar boat. I wonder if the WFT has the cajones? This FanPost was created by a registered user of The Daily Norseman, and does not necessarily reflect the views of the staff of the site. My favorite comment comes towards the end of a reply from @omnicomin. This will allow quite a few garbage time fantasy points through the air. Philadelphia 76ers Premier League UFC. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. Notice that, through four responses, each follower pointed to the later stages of the game. Only regular season games are included. However, on offense you have to help your defense by running the ball, controlling the clock and moving the chains. We the kings of garbage time! The Eagles made the same mistake as the Titans last week and the Falcons a game earlier. This is because theyre ahead often and run in garbage time. Youll never catch me scoffing at a quarterback with a triple-digit passer rating. Whether thats by design or due to Hurts bailing on plays early is another conversation. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. 2018-19. Follow Mike Clay on Twitter: @MikeClayNFL. While Cousins ended last years campaign with a passer rating of 105, which ranked eighth among quarterbacks, his passer rating only fell to 100.85 when you remove his garbage-time production. Was loosing every week and throwing for yards in garbage time but hes a super star.yeah rightaverage qb from what Ive seen. or who are playing catch up and garbage time ball in the third and fourth quarter. Easy to lead stats for garbage time when the Cardinals have 6 games where the margin of defeat was 2-3 possessions or more lol. https://www.nfl.com/players/deshaun-watson/stats/situational. And you would be correct! You also know that garbage time can inflate the stats of some players or NFL teams. 2017-18. Thats barely below the 59 percent league average in the third quarter. Its no coincidence that the best quarterbacks are always league leaders in passer rating. The Kings of Garbage Time By tebe_1 on Aug 24, 2021, 6:52pm CDT + Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports Share Memes; they're everywhere - including in NFL narratives. Minshew completed 61.8% of his passes and averaged 6.6 yards per attempt in garbage time last year. Hell yeah! The second shows them under normal game circumstances. On the other hand, some of those same QBs do win and have more success than Kirk historically has. Its almost as if the Minnesota Vikings QB sees a prevent defense at the end of a loss, rubs his palms together eagerly, and proclaims, Time to make my money!. In order to split up play-calling between garbage time and regular time, we must first determine which game situations fit each category. PLAY. Kirk gonna Kirk. To make it easy to read, teams are sorted by their pass rates under normal game circumstances. Sign up for the Saints Wire newsletter to get our top stories in your inbox every morning. Possibly one of the worse defense in NFL. Author: Chad Jensen. Theyre a good two percentage points ahead of the Packers and Lions (64 percent). But other quarterbacks, wide receivers, and running backs thrived in the briar patch of blowouts during the 2020 season. That can result in lots of carries and yards. ) Check out the 2021 NFL Standings & Team Stats including AFC and NFC results and standings on Pro-football-reference.com. Now that the real complicated stuff is out of the way, I wanted to share a few more interesting charts. Yet, our definition gives us enough plays to analyze players without making things too complicated. Was loosing every week and throwing for yards in garbage time but hes a super star.yeah rightaverage qb from what Ive seen @AlfredJohn says no. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. Just Saw This On The Chat Sports Vikings Now YouTube Channel, First Mock/ Offseason Plan - We're Closer Than You Think, Would You Do This If You Were The Gm Of The Minnesota Vikings, Speculating Hypothetical Instrumental Team Transactional Adjustments Knowledge Exercise #1. Every snap Hurts takes this season is being thoroughly analyzed by not only the fans but the organization itself. We do leave play-calling in tie games in the mix since, as shown, the rate is fairly consistent with what wed normally expect. The Minnesota Vikings QB completed 73.8% of his passes for a league-high 7 touchdowns when trailing by 16-plus points last year. Its the draft time! For running backs, we need to do things differently. I feel like just about everyone automatically puts up big numbers now. The fact that Cooper averaged only 10.6 yards per catch is somewhat more surprising. That means we move these snaps to the garbage time pile. Minnesota Vikings QB Kirk Cousins is the Emperor of garbage time, Kirk Cousins and other top garbage-time quarterbacks of 2020, Garbage time. the portion of an NFL game where play-calling on both sides of the ball is disrupted by game situation. Up four-to-six points, the pass rate falls to 38 percent. Standard Player Stats. But Kliff Kingsbury switched to Cro-Magnon tactics during the Cardinals occasional blowouts last season. I did not account for team impacts on the relatively small number that changed teams (e.g. Target one from a team that is guaranteed to throw the ball early and often (eg. Yet, the Rams are basing their Stafford evaluations and hopes on many things that happened in non-competitive losses. A one-year extension for Kirk Cousins seems unlikely, Minnesota Vikings News and Links, 27 February 2023. There is a ton to be learned from this chart and theres certainly enough here for us to come up with a decent garbage time definition. Do you use those same assets to acquire a new quarterback via draft or trade. To put this bad boy to rest, Ill leave you with this: What you see here is the percentage of offensive snaps each team has taken while enjoying a lead this season. The bizarre garbage time metric is usually defined by a team trailing in the 4th Quarter by 14+ points. I feel so bad for Watson. We dont think of Drake as a late-game workhorse. 2. Or is he an inconsistent performer who likes to feast on soft garbage-time coverage? It's the NFL. 4. Aaron Rodgers in 2011, when the Packers went 15-1. Its broad enough to include every situation in which the game is totally out of hand, the defense has started sitting back in prevent mode, and an opportunistic quarterback can begin fluffing his stats with short passes. Incoming Cousins is a stat padder comments. So of the 25 second-half scores the Vikings quarterback threw during the 2020 campaign, 28 percent of them happened during garbage time. #ad #manscapedpod. However, notice that pass rates rise rapidly from the second quarter on when the team trails by 14-plus. He also provides Eagles coverage for Fox Sports Radio: The Gambler 102.5 FM. This is our best indicator of a teams offensive philosophy. Never before in NFL history had a quarterback lost more than five such games in a season. With the San Francisco 49ers recent blockbuster trade to move all the way up to third overall in the draft, likely to select a quarterback, Kyle Shanahans reported infatuation with his former Washington signal-caller has resurfaced. Although garbage time is and will continue to be a key factor in fantasy football, adjusted pass/run ratios will help you make the best possible decisions when it comes to making lineup, trade, and waiver decisions. Thats because while quarterbacks and receivers play catch-up in losses, running backs are generally called upon to squat on leads. My preferred metric, ANY/A, has Kirk in 9th at +0.91just a shade behind Drew Brees (and Philip Rivers, both +0.99) - so yeah, it seems that some some pretty good QBs get the same types of bonuses that Kirk does. However, data mining was more straightforward this way. By choosing I Accept, you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. Empty calories like those will keep Mullens in the NFL as a dependable veteran backup for a long time. But hey, if Mike McCarthy thinks the best way to mount a comeback is with short passes to a player most coaches would consider an ideal vertical threat, who are we to argue with him? Its going to be hard for Houston to get better. 2019-20. Be sure to follow us on Twitter (@PFN365) to stay in the loop on all things around the NFL. Notice that, even in the second quarter, teams throw 72 percent of the time when getting blown out. Notice that teams up by four-to-20 points still throw exactly 56 percent of the time. How about play-calling after the two minute warning? Very sad that he puts up stats like this and they lose.. Kirk Cousins is the Emperor of Garbage Time. QB page EPA includes penalties and does not penalize QBs for fumbles on completed passes CPOE not measured before 2006 All pages Models: nflfastR Data: nflfastR About Zach Wilson Could Be An Option For The Minnesota Vikings, Minnesota Vikings News and Links, 1 March 2023, Leslie Frazier to take year away from coaching, Vikings Happy Hour: Minnesota Vikings 7-Round mock draft Pre-Combine Edition, Minnesota Vikings News and Links, 28 February 2023. Reddit and its partners use cookies and similar technologies to provide you with a better experience. @AnalogErik appears to be on the same page. Lets look at some of the players who saw the most action in lopsided losses (and wins for running backs) last year, examine their production, and determine what all that trash collection could mean for them in 2021 and beyond. Daily Norseman, a Minnesota Vikings community, By tebe_1 They have a shot at turning it around in the Thanksgiving nightcap against the Bills, and they just might do it given how well theyve played strong teams this year. That being the case, play-calling remains aligned fairly well with league average. Since taking over the starting job with the Vikings in 2018, Cousins 103.6 passer rating should silence any doubt that he at least belongs in the conversation as a top-10 signal-caller in todays NFL. WFT on line 1, offering their 1st and 2nd for Watson. The Liberty Line is owned and operated by TLL Sports LLC. But, at least on a quantitative level, can we really define it? Need a desperation No. during Kirk's time in Minnesota. The dip to 53 percent in 21-plus point games is enough to qualify those plays as garbage time. Remember when Matt Flynn made 8 figures because of one (essentially) garbage time game in week 17? And Deshaun Watson in 2020, when the Texans went 4-12. Note that by these criteria (and the PFR/Stathead search I used), a game may have "garbage time" in the 3rd/4th, then get close enough by the end to no longer be considered garbage time (e.g. In the end, I think the numbers suggest that - like most things Cousins - his garbage time stat padding is more complicated and nuanced than his detractors OR supporters would probably like to believe. By accepting all cookies, you agree to our use of cookies to deliver and maintain our services and site, improve the quality of Reddit, personalize Reddit content and advertising, and measure the effectiveness of advertising. The salary cap issues are mitigated as well as gaining picks where none are currently present. Meanwhile, a struggling squad like Detroit is forced to throw the ball during garbage time, which explains why they rank as the unadjusted pass-heaviest team in the league. As shown earlier (not thats a big revelation or anything), teams tend to throw the ball more when playing from behind and vice versa. Minshew completed 61.8% of his passes and averaged 6.6 yards per attempt in garbage time last year. ZodiacKiller1968 1 yr. ago. Well known for his social media presence and unique takes on the landscape of Philadelphia sports, Victor takes pride in engaging with the fanbase in ways not too often seen from today's sports personalities. Its clear that fourth quarter play-calling is not a good indicator of a teams offensive philosophy. Regular . That explains why Henry doesnt top this list the Titans let his backup share the load when the game was in hand. The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. Otherwise, though, fourth-quarter play-calling is pretty useless when trying to determine a teams offensive philosophy. Over the past three years, weve heard plenty of explanations for Kirk Cousins propensity to irk Minnesota Vikings fans. To do this, I examined every single offensive snap from the 2012 season through 12 weeks. While some of the narratives have changed over the past couple of years, at least one still lingers: garbage-time production. Its hard to define, but we all know it when we see it. Well not really but the Love Boat crew is on an off-season journey to deliver top Minnesota Vikings content until the draft! Searles is a born and raised Minnesotan who currently resides in Denver. I bet he would have taken it. Were aware of it. For our purposes, garbage time is when a team is trailing by 16 points or more in the second half of a game. He threw two terrible interceptions, one of them returned 50 yards for a touchdown by Slay, and was missing open receivers all day. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images) Kirk Cousins. After the Vikings bye in Week 7, however, the veteran quarterback didnt toss another garbage-time score until the teams Week 14 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. So its no surprise that A) the Lions played from far behind frequently and B) Stafford ended up tossing many passes to the steady Jones. I just wanted to put some actual facts and numbers out there to (hopefully) better inform the discussion about KC's garbage time numbers. Stats That Matter: Diontae Johnson and the NFLs dropped pass leaders. Watson averaged 4,000 yards passing and 26 tds the prior couple of seasons when the Texans made the playoffs.In your *expert* opinion what was the reason an average QB put up probowl numbers and lead his team to the playoffs the prior 2 seasons? Judged by passer rating alone, Cousins has demonstrated an ability to operate as a top-10 quarterback in the NFL, and last year was no different. Woof. 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